Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.002531 0.002688 0.002857 0.003052 0.003274 0.003519 0.003815
2025-03-30 0.002282 0.002492 0.002731 0.003025 0.003385 0.003819 0.004397
2025-04-06 0.002078 0.002312 0.002586 0.002941 0.003398 0.003987 0.004843
2025-04-13 0.001945 0.002195 0.002499 0.002904 0.003451 0.004201 0.005387
2025-04-20 0.001784 0.002029 0.002331 0.002742 0.003313 0.004123 0.005474
2025-04-27 0.001714 0.001969 0.002290 0.002739 0.003386 0.004353 0.006101
2025-05-04 0.001683 0.001955 0.002304 0.002809 0.003567 0.004775 0.007204
2025-05-11 0.001630 0.001908 0.002271 0.002807 0.003638 0.005029 0.008091
2025-05-18 0.001612 0.001905 0.002296 0.002889 0.003850 0.005571 0.009921
2025-05-25 0.001563 0.001858 0.002255 0.002869 0.003890 0.005802 0.011134
2025-06-01 0.001508 0.001800 0.002196 0.002815 0.003865 0.005897 0.012026
2025-06-08 0.001493 0.001794 0.002211 0.002878 0.004051 0.006481 0.015253
2025-06-15 0.001468 0.001777 0.002210 0.002920 0.004216 0.007100 0.020131
2025-06-22 0.001425 0.001732 0.002167 0.002889 0.004239 0.007389 0.024363
2025-06-29 0.001372 0.001671 0.002097 0.002809 0.004156 0.007379 0.026653
2025-07-06 0.001334 0.001631 0.002056 0.002774 0.004160 0.007616 0.032724
2025-07-13 0.001271 0.001551 0.001951 0.002625 0.003914 0.007077 0.028197
2025-07-20 0.001247 0.001527 0.001932 0.002622 0.003974 0.007461 0.037963
2025-07-27 0.001240 0.001529 0.001951 0.002686 0.004184 0.008410 0.084639
2025-08-03 0.001219 0.001508 0.001934 0.002684 0.004249 0.008915 0.214959
2025-08-10 0.001216 0.001514 0.001958 0.002760 0.004504 0.010321 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001193 0.001489 0.001933 0.002741 0.004532 0.010812 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001165 0.001455 0.001893 0.002692 0.004478 0.010895 NaN